World Cup 2026 match predictions
Every group-stage fixture with model win probabilities from 100,000 tournament simulations and the complete head-to-head record. As of June 2026.
Group A
Mexico vs South AfricaJun 11 · played · model 60.3% / 23.03% / 16.67%South Korea vs CzechiaJun 12 · played · model 34.99% / 31.35% / 33.66%Czechia vs South AfricaJun 18 · model 47.04% / 28.4% / 24.56%Mexico vs South KoreaJun 19 · model 46.09% / 28.14% / 25.77%Czechia vs MexicoJun 25 · model 25.01% / 28.14% / 46.86%South Africa vs South KoreaJun 25 · model 23.88% / 28.34% / 47.78%
Group B
Canada vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 12 · played · model 46.22% / 28.2% / 25.58%Qatar vs SwitzerlandJun 13 · played · model 10.2% / 18.25% / 71.54%Switzerland vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaJun 18 · model 49.96% / 28.22% / 21.82%Canada vs QatarJun 18 · model 64.49% / 23.55% / 11.96%Switzerland vs CanadaJun 24 · model 38.5% / 31.64% / 29.85%Bosnia and Herzegovina vs QatarJun 24 · model 56.59% / 24.63% / 18.79%
Group C
Brazil vs MoroccoJun 13 · played · model 45.95% / 28.18% / 25.88%Haiti vs ScotlandJun 14 · played · model 17.94% / 23.16% / 58.9%Scotland vs MoroccoJun 19 · model 23.12% / 28.34% / 48.54%Brazil vs HaitiJun 20 · model 80.92% / 12.59% / 6.49%Scotland vs BrazilJun 24 · model 16.33% / 22.85% / 60.83%Morocco vs HaitiJun 24 · model 71.09% / 18.34% / 10.57%
Group D
USA vs ParaguayJun 13 · played · model 42.12% / 30.3% / 27.59%Australia vs TurkiyeJun 14 · played · model 21.66% / 24.73% / 53.6%USA vs AustraliaJun 19 · model 53.36% / 24.72% / 21.92%Turkiye vs ParaguayJun 20 · model 43.05% / 30.18% / 26.77%Turkiye vs USAJun 26 · model 34.72% / 31.43% / 33.85%Paraguay vs AustraliaJun 26 · model 42.3% / 30.23% / 27.47%
Group E
Germany vs CuracaoJun 14 · played · model 80.87% / 12.59% / 6.54%Ivory Coast vs EcuadorJun 14 · played · model 31.15% / 31.45% / 37.4%Germany vs Ivory CoastJun 20 · model 46.55% / 28.41% / 25.05%Ecuador vs CuracaoJun 21 · model 76.31% / 13.97% / 9.72%Curacao vs Ivory CoastJun 25 · model 10.56% / 18.47% / 70.97%Ecuador vs GermanyJun 25 · model 27.4% / 30.22% / 42.37%
Group F
Netherlands vs JapanJun 14 · played · model 44.12% / 30.02% / 25.87%Sweden vs TunisiaJun 15 · played · model 41.9% / 30.21% / 27.9%Netherlands vs SwedenJun 20 · model 53.07% / 24.86% / 22.07%Tunisia vs JapanJun 21 · model 23.32% / 28.29% / 48.39%Japan vs SwedenJun 25 · model 40.71% / 30.16% / 29.13%Tunisia vs NetherlandsJun 25 · model 16.79% / 22.85% / 60.36%
Group G
Belgium vs EgyptJun 15 · played · model 57.01% / 24.58% / 18.41%Iran vs New ZealandJun 16 · played · model 46.13% / 28.25% / 25.62%Belgium vs IranJun 21 · model 63.05% / 24.09% / 12.86%New Zealand vs EgyptJun 22 · model 18.94% / 24.76% / 56.3%Egypt vs IranJun 27 · model 43.03% / 30.28% / 26.69%New Zealand vs BelgiumJun 27 · model 8.56% / 14.04% / 77.4%
Group H
Spain vs Cape VerdeJun 15 · played · model 80.47% / 12.63% / 6.9%Saudi Arabia vs UruguayJun 15 · played · model 11.54% / 23.9% / 64.56%Spain vs Saudi ArabiaJun 21 · model 81.19% / 12.95% / 5.85%Uruguay vs Cape VerdeJun 21 · model 62.8% / 23.63% / 13.56%Cape Verde vs Saudi ArabiaJun 27 · model 37.58% / 31.48% / 30.95%Uruguay vs SpainJun 27 · model 21.32% / 24.6% / 54.07%
Group I
France vs SenegalJun 16 · played · model 59.45% / 22.93% / 17.61%Iraq vs NorwayJun 16 · played · model 12.25% / 23.86% / 63.9%France vs IraqJun 22 · model 79.31% / 16.62% / 4.07%Norway vs SenegalJun 23 · model 31.58% / 31.61% / 36.82%Norway vs FranceJun 26 · model 15.68% / 23.13% / 61.19%Senegal vs IraqJun 26 · model 70.16% / 18.28% / 11.56%
Group J
Argentina vs AlgeriaJun 17 · played · model 55.33% / 24.57% / 20.1%Austria vs JordanJun 17 · played · model 63.2% / 23.76% / 13.05%Argentina vs AustriaJun 22 · model 54.33% / 24.52% / 21.16%Jordan vs AlgeriaJun 23 · model 13.77% / 24.01% / 62.21%Algeria vs AustriaJun 28 · model 32.98% / 31.67% / 35.35%Jordan vs ArgentinaJun 28 · model 6.47% / 12.82% / 80.71%
Group K
Portugal vs DR CongoJun 17 · model 71.48% / 18.28% / 10.23%Uzbekistan vs ColombiaJun 18 · model 14.69% / 24.03% / 61.29%Portugal vs UzbekistanJun 23 · model 76.64% / 14.26% / 9.1%Colombia vs DR CongoJun 24 · model 59.68% / 23.03% / 17.29%Colombia vs PortugalJun 27 · model 23.53% / 28.39% / 48.08%DR Congo vs UzbekistanJun 27 · model 37.59% / 31.54% / 30.87%
Group L
England vs CroatiaJun 17 · model 43.2% / 30.18% / 26.62%Ghana vs PanamaJun 17 · model 49.94% / 28.07% / 21.99%England vs GhanaJun 23 · model 61.91% / 23.07% / 15.02%Panama vs CroatiaJun 23 · model 12.09% / 18.5% / 69.42%Panama vs EnglandJun 27 · model 8.44% / 14.16% / 77.4%Croatia vs GhanaJun 27 · model 54.05% / 24.56% / 21.39%
Head-to-head data: Michill World Cup 2026 H2H Open Data (CC BY 4.0). Prediction markets carry risk. Not available in restricted jurisdictions.